Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.002342 0.002476 0.002619 0.002783 0.002967 0.003170 0.003411
2025-04-27 0.002140 0.002323 0.002528 0.002778 0.003078 0.003435 0.003901
2025-05-04 0.002039 0.002260 0.002518 0.002849 0.003272 0.003813 0.004590
2025-05-11 0.001929 0.002170 0.002460 0.002846 0.003365 0.004071 0.005176
2025-05-18 0.001880 0.002145 0.002475 0.002931 0.003576 0.004517 0.006157
2025-05-25 0.001798 0.002071 0.002418 0.002911 0.003633 0.004746 0.006861
2025-06-01 0.001715 0.001990 0.002344 0.002856 0.003630 0.004874 0.007425
2025-06-08 0.001684 0.001972 0.002352 0.002916 0.003805 0.005329 0.008864
2025-06-15 0.001649 0.001947 0.002346 0.002955 0.003949 0.005762 0.010551
2025-06-22 0.001593 0.001890 0.002291 0.002913 0.003953 0.005927 0.011650
2025-06-29 0.001538 0.001833 0.002234 0.002862 0.003934 0.006041 0.012699
2025-07-06 0.001491 0.001783 0.002183 0.002818 0.003922 0.006167 0.013939
2025-07-13 0.001411 0.001686 0.002065 0.002665 0.003708 0.005826 0.013143
2025-07-20 0.001378 0.001656 0.002041 0.002663 0.003770 0.006136 0.015616
2025-07-27 0.001368 0.001655 0.002060 0.002729 0.003971 0.006846 0.022170
2025-08-03 0.001339 0.001628 0.002039 0.002727 0.004039 0.007245 0.028996
2025-08-10 0.001333 0.001632 0.002064 0.002805 0.004282 0.008257 0.058488
2025-08-17 0.001304 0.001601 0.002034 0.002786 0.004316 0.008645 0.101429
2025-08-24 0.001270 0.001562 0.001989 0.002736 0.004274 0.008757 0.166116
2025-08-31 0.001261 0.001560 0.002002 0.002792 0.004480 0.009913 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001248 0.001551 0.002004 0.002827 0.004646 0.011073 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001221 0.001520 0.001969 0.002789 0.004626 0.011365 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001193 0.001487 0.001930 0.002742 0.004578 0.011504 NaN